Goal Setting

We at Paragon Financial Advisors don’t believe that “any direction” is acceptable. The financial well-being of you and your loved ones is too important to be left to chance. That’s why we encourage our clients to develop their personal financial goals.

Goals are basically a result or achievement toward which you are willing to expend time and effort. Goals vary with the individual’s wishes; hence, you set your own. Defining effective goals requires developing characteristics for those goals. For example, “I want to retire comfortably” is not a well-defined goal. Additional information is required.

Goal Characteristics

A well-defined goal requires the following characteristics:

1. Specific- An effective goal is specific in nature. It clearly defines the desired result or achievement in an unambiguous manner.
2. Measurable- Goals must be measurable, i.e. you must have a way to determine the attainment of the goal and monitor the process toward goal attainment. Financial goals would be measured in dollars.
3. Achievable- Effective goals must be achievable. For example, a goal of playing quarterback for an NFL football team would not be achievable for me given my size and athletic ability. Achievable does not necessarily mean easy. “Stretch” goals requiring significant effort are permissible if it is possible to achieve the final goal.
4. Relevant- Goals must be relevant; a relevant goal provides incentive for expending the effort required for goal attainment.
5. Priority- Most individuals will have multiple goals as they go through the goal setting process. Some goals will be more important to the individual than others. Therefore, goals should be ranked by priority. Which goals are most important and which goals have lesser importance? Identify and rank according to priority.
6. Time frames- An effective goal has associated time frames for completion and “mile posts” to monitor progress toward goal achievement.
7. Action Items- Action items outline the actions necessary to attain the goal. What needs to be done to successfully reach the goal?

Let’s restate our retirement goal according to these parameters.

“My first priority is to retire in 30 years at an income level equal to 85% of my current income adjusted for inflation at 3% per year. To accomplish this goal, I need to save X dollars per year and my investment portfolio needs to grow at Y % per year.”

This restatement clearly provides better definition with the characteristics discussed above.

• Specific/Measurable- “…retire… at an income level equal to 85% of my current income adjusted for inflation at 3% per year.”
• Achievable- certainly.
• Relevant/Priority- “…first…”
• Time frame- “… in 30 years…” with measurable mile posts—the value of the portfolio each year based on an assumed savings rate and portfolio appreciation rate can be identified and monitored.
• Action Items- “… save X dollars per year.” 

         Please contact us at Paragon Financial Advisors. We’ll assist you in developing your personal financial goals. Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee only registered investment advisory company located in College Station, TX.  We offer financial planning and investment management services to our clients

Goals Set-Goals Met!

The base of your financial planning should be your goals and objectives. Goals are basically a result or achievement toward which you are willing to expend time and effort. Goals vary with the individual’s wishes; hence, you set your own. Defining effective goals requires developing some particular characteristics for those goals. For example, “I want to retire comfortably” is not a well-defined goal. Additional information is required.

Goal Characteristics

A well-defined goal requires the following characteristics:

1. Specific- An effective goal is specific in nature. It clearly defines the desired result or achievement in an unambiguous manner.
2. Measurable- Goals must be measurable, i.e. you must have a way to determine the attainment of the goal and monitor the process toward goal attainment. Financial goals would be measured in dollars.
3. Achievable- Effective goals must be achievable. For example, a goal of playing quarterback for an NFL football team would not be achievable for me given my age, size, and athletic ability. Achievable does not necessarily mean easy. “Stretch” goals requiring significant effort are permissible as long as it is possible to achieve the final goal.
4. Relevant- Goals must be relevant; a relevant goal provides incentive for expending the effort required for goal attainment.
5. Priority- Most individuals will have multiple goals as they go through the goal setting process. Some goals will be more important to the individual than others. Therefore, goals should be ranked by priority. Which goals are most important and which goals have lesser importance? Identify and rank according to priority.
6. Time frames- An effective goal has associated time frames for completion and “mile posts” to monitor progress toward goal achievement.
7. Action Items- Action items outline the actions necessary to attain the goal. What needs to be done in order to successfully reach the goal?

Goal Definition

Let’s restate our retirement goal according to these parameters.

“My first priority is to retire in 30 years at an income level equal to 85% of my current income adjusted for inflation at 3% per year. In order to accomplish this goal, I need to save X dollars per year and my investment portfolio needs to grow at Y % per year.”

• This restatement clearly provides better definition with the characteristics discussed above.
• Specific/Measurable- “…retire… at an income level equal to 85% of my current income adjusted for inflation at 3% per year.”
• Achievable- certainly.
• Relevant/Priority- “…first…”
• Time frame- “… in 30 years…” with measurable mile posts—the value of the portfolio each year based on an assumed savings rate and portfolio appreciation rate can be identified and monitored.
• Action Items- “… save X dollars per year.”

We at Paragon Financial Advisors help our clients appropriately define, and attain, their financial goals. Please give us a call and we’ll help you.  Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee only registered investment advisory company located in College Station, TX.  We offer financial planning and investment management services to our clients.

Social Security, If Not Now-When?

Social Security benefits are a component in the retirement planning of most Americans. However, those benefits pose questions for both younger and older employees. Younger employees are faced with the long term viability of the system (see our previous posting of “Social Security, Medicare, and You”. Older employees are faced with the question of how, and when, to start taking their benefit.
 
Social Security benefits are a function of age, length of working career, and earnings level. Therefore, we urge you to contact the Social Security Administration to determine your specific benefits. Our discussion here will be more general in nature and cover only the Old Age & Survivor Insurance (OASI) benefit.
 
Full Retirement Age (FRA)
 
Full retirement age is the age at which one is eligible to draw 100% of Social Security benefit earned. Retiring earlier than FRA reduces the amount received; retiring later increases the amount of benefit. Once benefits are begun, the amount is constant, subject only to cost of living adjustments (COLAs); that adjustment amount is tied to inflation. Full retirement age for benefits is shown in the following table:

 

Full Retirement Age

Year of Birth	Age Required for Full Benefits
1954 or Earlier	66 years
1955	66 years + 2 months
1956	66 years + 4 months
1957	66 years + 6 months
1958	66 years + 8 months
1959	66 years + 10 months
1960 and Later	67 years

The earliest age at which one can begin drawing benefits is 62. However, for those born in or before 1955, starting Social Security before FRA reduces the in full benefit by 6.25% per year. For those individuals born in 1960 or later, the reduction is 6.0% per year. Waiting until after FRA to begin drawing benefits increases the benefit by 8% per year until age 70. There are no further benefit increases after age 70.
 
Cost of living adjustments for Social Security are tied to inflation. In 2017, benefits increased by 0.3%. There have been years in which benefits did not increase; however, the average cost of living adjustment for 1985-2017 has been 2.6%.
 
Age 62 or Later?
 
When should one begin drawing Social Security benefits? Should one draw a lesser amount for a longer period of time (longer life expectancy) or a greater amount for a shorter period of time (shorter life expectancy)? That’s a complex question with many variables. What is one’s current financial situation (i.e. does one need the money)? What’s the long term prognosis for life expectancy (current health, heredity, etc.)? How can a couple plan benefits to maximize lifetime income received? There is a “breakeven” point which can be calculated. Consider the following example:
 
John Smith is entitled to $1500 monthly benefit at his FRA of age  66. If he chooses to begin benefits at age 62, his FRA amount will be reduced by 25% (i.e. 6.25% for 4 years) resulting in a benefit payment of $1125 per month. If he waits until FRA and begins  drawing $1500 per month, he will forgo the $1125 per month that he could have been receiving or $54,000 ($1125 x 48 months =   $54,000). If he begins benefits at age 66, that forgone amount will be recovered at $375 per month ($1500 benefit at 66 vs. $1125 at 62) which will require 144 months ($54,000 ÷ $375 = 144 or 12 years). Therefore, John’s breakeven age is 78. If he dies before   age 78, he made the correct decision to take benefits at age 62; if he lives past age 78, delaying until FRA would have been more  advantageous.
 
Obviously, life expectancy is a key component here. In previous postings we have referenced mortality tables. For the above example, the probability of a male at age 62 living to at least age 76 is 73%. There is a 60% probability he will live to age 80, and a 21% probability of living to age 90.
 
To compound the problem, beginning Social Security benefits prior to FRA and continuing to earn income has consequences. There is an annual earnings amount allowed ($16,920 in 2017); for each $2 earned above that amount, Social Security benefits are reduced by $1. That restriction no longer applies if one draws benefits at FRA. There are special rules that may apply here, so individual circumstances must be considered.
 
The Bottom Line
 
Social Security benefits are a key component in retirement planning. How and when those benefits are begun can have a significant impact on long term financial well-being. We at Paragon Financial Advisors can assist our clients in planning for their future. Please call us to discuss your specific circumstances.  Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee only registered investment advisory company located in College Station, TX.  We offer financial planning and investment management services to our clients.

 

 

Navigating Retirement

Ahhh—the good ole’ days. We’ve heard that expression applied to many things. It used to apply to retirement. Work 35 to 40 years for the same company, get a gold watch at retirement, then collect a pension check from the company for the rest of your life. But things changed. Pension plans (defined benefit plans) were phased out in favor of 401k plans (defined contribution plans). This change essentially shifted risk for providing retirement benefits from the employer to the employee. In addition, employees began changing jobs/careers more frequently; the long-term employee with a single company became the exception rather than the rule. Retirement resources historically were a “three-legged stool”—the benefits came from 1) a pension from the employer, 2) personal savings, and 3) Social Security.

 

Today’s retirement picture is significantly different. Let’s look at today’s retirement factors but do it in a framework of “control.” There are some factors over which we have complete control, some factors over which we have partial control, and some factors over which we have no control. For example:

Complete Control

1. Saving- today’s worker has complete control over the amount he/she chooses to save and when that saving starts (the sooner the better!!).
2. Spending-spending choices directly affect the amount saved; again, a choice made by the individual. Less spending means invested funds last longer.
3. Asset allocation-with 401k plans, the plan participant chooses how the money is invested. A greater the allocation to stock means a greater possible gain (or loss).
4. Location-cost of living in retirement varies significantly by geographic location. Relocation may mean a reduced need for daily living expenses. Of course, there are social considerations (friends, family, etc.) that affect this choice.

Partial Control

1. Employment earnings during working years-choice of jobs, education, work location can affect career earnings significantly. Aptitudes and personal preferences play a role here.
2. Duration of working career-how long one chooses to work significantly affects life style standards in retirement. Working longer means greater contribution to savings and fewer years those savings must cover in retirement.
3. Life span-while everyone has a genetic makeup that affects life span, so does life style choices. Proper diet, exercise, etc. can affect both longevity and quality of life in retirement.

No Control

1. Investment returns-asset allocation is an individual choice relating desired goals with acceptable risk. However, the actual performance of investments in each of those asset categories (stocks, bonds, etc.) is something over which we have no control.
2. Governmental polices/regulations-tax policies (and rates) and government regulations have an impact in retirement. Individuals with significant holdings in qualified plans (IRAs, 401ks) have a significant partner in those plans—the Infernal Revenue Service (note: not a typo)!

We at Paragon Financial Advisors assist our clients in navigating the path to and through retirement. Possibilities and pitfalls abound; please call us to discuss your specific circumstances. Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee-only registered investment advisory company located in College Station, Texas.  We offer financial planning and investment management services to our clients. 



   

Road Map To Retirement

The 2016 elections have certainly brought about some changes in the political landscape. One thing hasn’t changed however—an ageing population that is moving toward retirement. Baby boomers began turning 65 in 2011 and their number is increasing by about 10,000 per day. In 2017, the leading edge of the boom will turn 70 (complete with required minimum distribution requirements from retirement accounts). Considering this trend, we are beginning a series of postings on navigating the road to (and through) retirement.

First, we’ll look at some of the possibilities facing individuals as they approach retirement. Will older Americans continue working? How long is “retirement”? What about Social Security? How should one plan for spending and inflation?

Then, we’ll look at some of the “pre-retirement” planning that should be done. How much should one save for retirement? Should it be done in company savings plans? IRAs (traditional or Roth)

Spending in retirement is a key factor. How much is “too much” for investment withdrawals? Tax management (for investment withdrawals, taxes paid (income-federal and state; and local (personal property, real property) are no minor consideration. Health care (and long term care) costs are also an item of uncertainty and concern.

Finally, how does one pay for retirement? The reduction in defined pension plans and replacement with 401k plans has put the investment risk on the retiree. Quality of retirement is, in large part, how successful one is in managing his/her financial resources. We will begin some discussions on these topics.

“Plan your work, then work your plan.” That is the basis of financial planning that we at Paragon Financial Advisors assist our clients in doing. Please call us to discuss your specific circumstances, and stand by for more discussions on navigating the retirement road. Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee-only registered investment advisory company located in College Station, Texas.  We offer financial planning and investment management services to our clients. 

 

Living on the Financial Edge

 Living on the Financial Edge

At Paragon Financial Advisors, we recommend our clients have a 3-6 month cash “ready reserve” to meet unexpected expenditures. For most Americans, accumulating that amount appears to be much easier said than done. In the May, 2016 The Atlantic magazine, Neal Gabler wrote an article entitled “The Secret Shame of Middle Class Americans.” Some of the items he mentioned (and the sources he quoted) are shown below.

Unexpected Expenses

A Federal Reserve Board survey designed “to monitor the financial and economic status of American consumers” found that 47% would not be able to cover a $400 unexpected expense unless they borrowed, sold something, or could not cover it at all. David Johnson (University of Michigan) surmised that Americans usually smooth consumption over their lifetime: borrowing in bad years and saving in good years. People are now spending any unexpected income (bonuses, tax refunds, etc.) instead of saving it.

A 2014 Bankrate survey found that only 38% of Americans had enough in savings to cover a $1000 emergency room visit or a $500 car repair. Nearly one-half of college graduates could not cover the expense through savings. In 2015, A Pew Charitable Trust study found that 55% of households didn’t have enough liquid savings to cover one month’s living expenses.

Another study by Annamaria Lusardi, Peter Tufano, and Daniel Schneider asked whether a household could raise $2000 within 30 days for an unexpected event. More than 25% could not; another 19% would have to pawn something or use a payday loan to raise the money. Nearly a quarter of households with an income of $100-$150,000 per year could not raise the $2000 in one month.

Liquidity or Net Worth

Is this situation only a liquidity problem or is net worth (the net sum of all assets including retirement accounts and home equity) also at risk? Edward Wolff, an economist at New York University, reported that net worth has declined significantly in the last generation. Net worth declined 85.3% from 1983 to 2013 for the bottom income quintile, decreased 63.5% for the second lowest quintile, and decreased 25.8% for the middle quintile. He looked at the number of months a household could fund its current consumption by liquidating assets if the household lost all current income. In 2013, the bottom two quintiles had no net worth; hence, they couldn’t spend anything. The middle quintile (with an average income of approximately $50,000 per year) could continue spending for 6 days. A family in the second highest quintile could maintain current spending for a little over 5 months.

Research funded by the Russell Sage Foundation found that the inflation adjusted net worth of the median point of the wealth distribution was $87,992 in 2003. In 2013, it had declined to $54,500—a decline of 38%.

Debt

Value Penguin did an analysis of Federal Reserve and Transmission data pertaining to credit card debt. In 2015, credit card debt per household was $5700. Thirty eight percent of households carried some debt; the average debt of those households was greater than $15,000. Apparently the rise of easy credit availability has supplanted the need for personal savings. The personal savings rate peaked around 13% in 1971, fell to 2.6% in 2005, and has risen only to 5.1% now. These debt levels reflect only personal debt; no serious attention is being paid to our $19 trillion government debt.

What’s Going On?

Financial products are becoming more sophisticated, both in quantity and complexity. Such additional products should provide a better way to manage personal financial “hiccups.” Lusardi and her associates (in a 2011 study) found that the more complex a country’s financial and credit market became, the worse the problem of financial insecurity becomes for its citizens. That study measured the knowledge of basic financial principles (compound interest, risk diversification, the effects of inflation, etc.) among Americans ages 25 to 65. Sixty five percent were basically financially illiterate.

Why are we at a financial advisory firm writing about this situation? The United States finds itself in the midst of a most unusual political situation. Some candidates for President of the United States are espousing theories or programs outside the normal capitalistic structure. Are conditions such as the ones described above partially to blame?

A crucial part of managing investment portfolios is attempting to monitor the economic, political, and social conditions that might affect the investing environment in the future. What will that environment look like and how will it affect the selection of assets going forward? We at Paragon Financial Advisors don’t have a crystal ball for the future, but we do try to help our clients invest for the long term. Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee-only registered investment advisory company located in College Station, Texas.  We offer financial planning and investment management services to our clients. 

The Student Debt "Bubble"?

About 25 years ago, federal government policies were implemented to encourage students to get a higher education—including borrowing the funds for that education if necessary. It was assumed that college graduates could afford the debt because they would be earning more from better paying jobs. However, the law of unintended consequences reared its ugly head. College expenses have been increasing much faster than the general rate of inflation. In addition, especially since the 2008 recession, jobs created have not been ones that paid exceptionally well.

 

An Associated Press article, written by Josh Boah in early October of 2015, gave some statistics about the student debt incurred for a higher education—and how it can have a multi-generational affect. Student debt in America now totals approximately $1.2 trillion. An Associated Press analysis of that data provided the following statistics:

1. Americans over age 40 account for approximately 35% of the education debt. Extended loan repayment schedules, mid-career changes, and signing for children’s educational borrowing have driven the increase from its 25% proportion in 2004.
2. Adults in the age 35-50 year old bracket owe about the same amount (an average of $20,000) as those students in the age 34 and younger bracket.
3. Parents who still have college debt and teenage children have more difficulties in providing education assistance for their children. Such parents have an average of $4,000 for children’s education savings vs. the $20,000 average for children whose parents have no student debt.
4. Student debt repayments are surpassing the cost of food for the average college educated head of household under age 40 (who has student debt outstanding)--$404 for debt repayment vs. what the family spends per month at the grocery store.

Student debt levels are causing potential problems in an already weak economy. Older graduates are delaying or foregoing some spending which would benefit the economy (such as housing and related purchases). Some graduates are accepting employment (usually at lower paying jobs) which would qualify them for student loan forgiveness.  Second generation student debtors will be looking at greater debt levels to continue their education.

There are some planning opportunities for pre-college students on how to handle the costs of continuing education. We, at Paragon Financial Advisors, can assist parents (and grandparents) in the best way to proceed on college funding. However, stay tuned—we haven’t heard the last of the student debt “bubble."  Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee-only registered investment advisory company located in College Station, Texas. We offer financial planning and investment management.

Back to the Basics: Dust off your Budget

I read a great article recently about the St. Louis Rams football team. Before they allow any of their new draft picks to sign contracts (many containing huge signing bonuses) they have to attend a mandatory “Financial Planning 101” class.  If the story is true, one of the coaches walked into the room with a briefcase and dumped out one million dollars in cash onto the table. Hopefully that got their attention [it would have gotten mine!]; because the next thing he did was physically remove a third of the pile…for taxes. He then took away several other stacks representing the player’s management fee and declared what was left was theirs to keep… BUT they had to make it last for the rest of the year.  

Not all of our employers are able to put our entire annual salary on the table in front of us in cash and challenge us to be good stewards of money, but what if they could? Would it change how you manage your money right now?

Our coach in this story is teaching his players a very valuable life skill and lesson on the importance of wisely controlling how you spend money. In the financial world we call this a “Spending Plan” or a “Budget”; a great tool that when used properly can help prevent you from overspending on your lifestyle and falling into debt. 

If you’re new to budgeting and making a spending plan, regardless of your age, don’t sweat it. No one gets their budget perfect the first, or even after several tries.  What is crucial during this timeframe is that you compare the projections you made to what you actually spent that month.

If you need a place to start or a format to follow; email us today at info@paragon-adv.com to request a free copy of our Household Budget Template.

The key to budgeting is to plan for your expenses ahead of time. By knowing your spending habits and accounting for your wants and needs it’s possible to take out the guesswork and quit wondering where all your money went.  If you’re married, being able to sit down and discuss your budget with your spouse will allow you to be on the same page and prevent future money disagreements; which can be a huge stress reliever. 

What if I have a surplus or a deficit?

If you find yourself having too much month left at the end of your money then it’s time to be honest with yourself. If you have a deficit by spending too much or your expenses are greater than your income, one of two things should happen 1) Decrease your Expenses and/or 2) Increase your Income. If you’ve dug yourself into a hole the best thing to do is stop digging! Put a plan in place to alter your habits so that destructive financial behavior will not create further problems.  In the words of Ben Franklin: “Beware of little expenses; a small leak will sink a great ship.”

What if you review your budget and make more money than your expenses? Congratulations, that is a great problem to have! When you reach the point where your expenses are under control is a perfect time to maximize your contributions to retirement accounts, children’s college funds, as well as save and invest for major purchases and financial goals.

We, at Paragon Financial Advisors, assist our clients in identifying their cash flow needs in order to maximize their savings and lifestyle. We offer Financial Planning and Investment Management. Paragon Financial Advisors is a fee-only registered investment advisor located in College Station, Texas.